The new Q2 2025 earnings season will officially begin on July 15. The market expects S&P 500 companies to report a 5% year-over-year increase in earnings and a 4.2% increase in revenue. This would be the slowest growth since Q4 2023. Only three sectors—communication services, information technology, and utilities—are expected to grow earnings faster than the S&P 500 average. Earnings in energy, consumer durables, basic materials, consumer staples, and industrials are all expected to decline compared to last year.
There are no major economic reports or earnings announcements this week. Market attention remains focused on the outcome of trade negotiations.
• Monday: No economic data scheduled.
• Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for June and consumer credit data for May.
• Wednesday: Wholesale inventories and Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
• Thursday: Initial jobless claims. Earnings from DAL and LEVI.
• Friday: Monthly federal budget report.
In Q1 2025, S&P 500 companies reported a 13.3% year-over-year increase in earnings and a 4.9% rise in revenue. The forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.2. The market expects earnings growth of 7.3% in Q3 and 6.4% in Q4. Revenue is expected to grow by 4.7% and 5.2%, respectively. For the full year, earnings are expected to grow by 9.1%, and revenue by 5.0%.
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