5 Sept 2025 14:30
August nonfarm payrolls came in at 22K, far below market expectations of 78K and the previous figure of 79K. Since the revision of Aug 1 data, the quality of macro data has raised doubts in the market. The probability of a Fed rate cut this month has risen to 99%. Cuts are also expected in October and December. Stock indexes opened higher in pre-market and hit new record highs. Yields on 10Y/20Y Treasuries fell below yesterday’s key level and kept moving down.
5 Sept 2025 09:57
The main index keeps moving in a high and volatile range. Stock index futures dropped sharply. Last week, TCS suggested shorting MNQ near 23,740 and shorting MES near 6,490, which helped hedge downside risk.
3 Sept 2025 14:26
On the first trading day of September, indexes opened much lower, but main indexes still held short-term key support. SPY dropped to around the suggested $635 level (actual low 634.92) and then rebounded. In pre-market, the gap was fully filled. If at the open SPY can move quickly above $643–644, bulls may regain control. The next target would be the previous high area. Below this zone, bears still hold the short-term advantage.
1 Sept 2025 09:36
August trading has ended. After a panic sell-off and rebound in early April, the market closed higher for 4 straight months, with all three major indexes hitting new record highs.
29 Aug 2025 15:19
Last trading day of the month. The S&P 500 monthly chart is set for four straight green candles. The only question is how long the upper shadow will be. SPX opened this month at 6287, and yesterday it closed above 6500 for the first time. It is now up +162 points, or +2.56%. Nasdaq 100 is up +2.09% this month, Dow Jones 30 is up +3.41%, and Russell 2000 has surged +7.54%.
27 Aug 2025 18:56
Today’s topic is very simple: Strength in Pause — the power of consolidation.
26 Aug 2025 14:41
COIN has been the most asked-about stock recently. In several earlier video analyses, I kept stressing the 295–300 value zone. This area is a classic support–resistance flip zone and holds a large amount of institutional positions and capital. Because of that, it acts as an anchor level.
24 Aug 2025 16:50
This week marks the end of August trading. Only 15 S&P 500 companies will report earnings, but the focus is on AI chip giant NVIDIA (NVDA). Chinese e-commerce leaders Alibaba (BABA) and Pinduoduo (PDD), as well as Canada’s five big banks (BMO, BNS, RY, TD, CM), will also release results.
22 Aug 2025 15:49
Today, QQQ formed a Doji. This shows market hesitation. The reason is clear: tomorrow is the Jackson Hole meeting. Before such big events, markets often move in a very uncertain way.
21 Aug 2025 14:21
The central bank’s annual meeting starts Friday. This year’s theme will focus on the labor market. Yesterday, the Fed’s FOMC minutes showed that the main risk is still tariffs that could trigger inflation, while labor market risks are secondary. Clearly, before deciding the theme, they did not foresee Trump’s tariff-for-tariff policy. This Fed has always been chasing the market.
20 Aug 2025 20:48
Russell’s flag pullback gave a good RRR buying chance. Triple-leveraged TNA daily value range is 35.00–36.50, target 50.
19 Aug 2025 14:27
The core theme today: the Russell 2000 may continue to rise in the next four weeks, until mid-September.