Futures Market Weekly Analysis
August 4, Monday
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The Sharp Drop in the Past Two Days May Signal a Cycle Shift
This update comes today because TCS believes there is a major change happening in the market’s cycle structure. This change seems more significant than the minor turning points seen in recent months. I’ll explain why.
This Weekly's Key Events (Aug 4-8)
66% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q2 2025 earnings. Among them, 82% beat market expectations. Earnings grew by 10.3% year-over-year, and revenue rose by 6.0%. This is much better than last week. The S&P 500 forward P/E ratio is now 22.2.
July 31: Daily Updates
On the last trading day of July, the major index is set to close with three straight months of gains. Tech giants MSFT and META are growing fast, and the AI story is starting to deliver. Money keeps flowing into AI, with a “winner takes all” trend.
July 30: FOMC & Daily Updates
Two votes against (calling for a 25bps rate cut), one member absent, and nine votes in favor of keeping rates unchanged.
Futures Market Weekly Analysis
Monday, July 28
This Week’s Key Events (Jul 28–Aug 1)
So far, 34% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q2 2025 earnings. Of those, 80% beat market expectations. Earnings rose 6.4% year over year, and revenue grew 5.0%, the slowest pace since Q1 2024. The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is 22.4.
Germany 40 Intraday: Key Support Focus 24355
Important level to watch - 24355 (4 hour chart)
July 24: ER Updates
The Trump administration released an AI action plan, focusing on easing regulations and increasing investment. The ECB paused interest rate cuts. At 9:45 AM, services and manufacturing PMI will be released. Stock index futures remain volatile at high levels. Individual stocks are mixed.
July 22: Daily Updates
Treasury Secretary Bessent said talks with China will be held next week in Stockholm. The market stayed near recent highs with slight moves. Yesterday, the index hit a new high at the open but then pulled back, closing above 6300 for the first time.
This Weekly's Key Events (July 21-25)
12% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q2 2025 earnings so far. Profits are up 5.6% year-over-year, and revenue is up 4.4%. These are the slowest growth rates since Q4 2023. The S&P 500 forward P/E ratio is 22.2. This week, 112 S&P 500 companies will report earnings, including 5 Dow Jones components. Market favorites TSLA and GOOGL are expected to be key highlights. Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Tuesday is also worth watching.
Futures Market Weekly Analysis
Date: Friday, July 18
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